tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 87%

  1. 16:30 SFO → 18:06 LAX
    AS 1523 · Alaska · 1h 36m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:12 LAX → 23:59 SEA
    AS 495 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 29mSFO 16:30 to SEA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.