tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 12:11 FAI → 16:56 SEA
    AS 1531 · Alaska · 3h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 SEA → 18:56 PDX
    AS 2302 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 45mFAI 12:11 to PDX 18:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.