tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Francisco via Anchorage: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:33 JFK → 13:30 ANC
    AS 1536 · Alaska · 7h 57m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 ANC → 20:08 SFO
    AS 1561 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 13h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip13h 35mJFK 09:33 to SFO 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.