tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Seattle via Anchorage: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:33 JFK → 13:30 ANC
    AS 1536 · Alaska · 7h 57m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 ANC → 21:05 SEA
    AS 268 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 86% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 14h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip14h 32mJFK 09:33 to SEA 21:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.