tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via Anchorage: arrives on time 79%

  1. 09:33 JFK → 13:30 ANC
    AS 1536 · Alaska · 7h 57m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ANC → 20:05 HNL
    AS 49 · Alaska · 6h 05m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 16h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip16h 32mJFK 09:33 to HNL 20:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.