tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 23:06 ANC → 05:38 PHX
    AS 1550 · Alaska · 5h 32m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:17 PHX → 17:29 JFK +1 day
    AA 2689 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 14h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip14h 24mANC 23:06 to JFK 17:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.