tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Boise via San Diego: arrives on time 49%

  1. 07:55 SFO → 09:35 SAN
    AS 1557 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 73% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 SAN → 13:46 BOI
    AS 2341 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 51mSFO 07:55 to BOI 13:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.