tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Sitka via Juneau: arrives on time 54%

  1. 19:50 SEA → 21:22 JNU
    AS 1559 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Juneau (JNU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:18 JNU → 22:59 SIT
    AS 70 · Alaska · 41m · 85% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sitka is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 09mSEA 19:50 to SIT 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.