tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:25 ANC → 20:08 SFO
    AS 1561 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 55mANC 14:25 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.