tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Chicago via San Francisco: arrives on time 85%

  1. 14:25 ANC → 20:08 SFO
    AS 1561 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:30 SFO → 05:57 ORD +1 day
    UA 368 · United · 4h 27m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip12h 32mANC 14:25 to ORD 05:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.