tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Honolulu via Portland: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:55 SMF → 16:27 PDX
    AS 1600 · Alaska · 1h 32m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:32 PDX → 20:24 HNL
    AS 841 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip8h 29mSMF 14:55 to HNL 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.