tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:55 SMF → 16:27 PDX
    AS 1600 · Alaska · 1h 32m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:48 PDX → 20:04 SBA
    AS 2029 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 09mSMF 14:55 to SBA 20:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.