tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 14%

  1. 19:34 LAX → 20:57 SFO
    AS 1601 · Alaska · 1h 23m · 15% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 SFO → 23:52 PDX
    AS 2023 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 18mLAX 19:34 to PDX 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.