tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Seattle via Boise: arrives on time 40%

  1. 12:33 SNA → 15:39 BOI
    AS 1606 · Alaska · 2h 06m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Boise (BOI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:27 BOI → 17:06 SEA
    AS 740 · Alaska · 1h 39m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 33mSNA 12:33 to SEA 17:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.