tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:09 ANC → 20:48 PDX
    AS 1609 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:36 SFO
    AS 2112 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 27mANC 16:09 to SFO 23:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.