tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 91%

  1. 16:25 LAX → 17:47 SFO
    AS 1610 · Alaska · 1h 22m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 55mLAX 16:25 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.