tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Everett via San Francisco: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:25 LAX → 17:47 SFO
    AS 1610 · Alaska · 1h 22m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 SFO → 22:12 PAE
    AS 2083 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 05m · 46% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 47mLAX 16:25 to PAE 22:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.