tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Tampa via San Francisco: arrives on time 87%

  1. 16:25 LAX → 17:47 SFO
    AS 1610 · Alaska · 1h 22m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:13 SFO → 05:38 TPA +1 day
    UA 649 · United · 5h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 13mLAX 16:25 to TPA 05:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.