tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Newark via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 07:32 LAX
    AS 1620 · Alaska · 1h 32m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 LAX → 17:13 EWR
    AS 233 · Alaska · 5h 38m · 89% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 13mSFO 06:00 to EWR 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.