tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 63%

  1. 17:59 PDX → 19:37 SMF
    AS 1622 · Alaska · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 SMF → 22:39 SEA
    AS 403 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 40mPDX 17:59 to SEA 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.