tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via San Diego: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:13 SJC → 08:43 SAN
    AS 1623 · Alaska · 1h 30m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:42 SAN → 21:00 DCA
    AS 14 · Alaska · 5h 18m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip10h 47mSJC 07:13 to DCA 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.