tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:33 PDX
    AS 1630 · Alaska · 6h 03m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:38 PDX → 13:15 SNA
    AS 588 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 45mEWR 06:30 to SNA 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.