tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:33 PDX
    AS 1630 · Alaska · 6h 03m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:03 PDX → 13:03 SEA
    AS 3078 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 33mEWR 06:30 to SEA 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.