tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Bozeman via Portland: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:33 PDX
    AS 1630 · Alaska · 6h 03m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PDX → 13:10 BZN
    AS 2022 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 40m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 40mEWR 06:30 to BZN 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.