tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:33 PDX
    AS 1630 · Alaska · 6h 03m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 PDX → 12:33 SMF
    AS 2399 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 33m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 03mEWR 06:30 to SMF 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.