tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 87%

  1. 17:32 TPA → 19:24 SAN
    AS 1638 · Alaska · 4h 52m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 SAN → 00:12 LAS +1 day
    WN 3510 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 100% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip9h 40mTPA 17:32 to LAS 00:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.