tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via San Diego: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:23 SMF → 09:05 SAN
    AS 1680 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 SAN → 18:17 MCO
    AS 396 · Alaska · 5h 14m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 54mSMF 07:23 to MCO 18:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.