tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dulles via San Diego: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:23 SMF → 09:05 SAN
    AS 1680 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:34 SAN → 18:45 IAD
    AS 506 · Alaska · 5h 11m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 22mSMF 07:23 to IAD 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.