tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dallas-Fort Worth via San Diego: arrives on time 55%

  1. 07:23 SMF → 09:05 SAN
    AS 1680 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:52 SAN → 15:13 DFW
    AS 545 · Alaska · 3h 21m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 50mSMF 07:23 to DFW 15:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.