tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Indianapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:49 LAS → 21:34 SEA
    AS 1681 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 SEA → 05:44 IND +1 day
    AS 624 · Alaska · 4h 05m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 55mLAS 18:49 to IND 05:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.