tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Pittsburgh via Seattle: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:49 LAS → 21:34 SEA
    AS 1681 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:37 SEA → 06:10 PIT +1 day
    AS 77 · Alaska · 4h 33m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 21mLAS 18:49 to PIT 06:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.