tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Redmond via Portland: arrives on time 53%

  1. 19:05 DEN → 20:50 PDX
    AS 1807 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PDX → 22:45 RDM
    AS 2057 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 50m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 40mDEN 19:05 to RDM 22:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.