tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Anchorage: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:00 ORD → 13:42 ANC
    AS 1825 · Alaska · 6h 42m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:28 ANC → 16:31 FAI
    AS 2103 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 31mORD 10:00 to FAI 16:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.