tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 12:11 FAI → 16:56 SEA
    AS 1839 · Alaska · 3h 45m · 97% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 SEA → 23:59 MSP
    AS 386 · Alaska · 3h 19m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 48mFAI 12:11 to MSP 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.