tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 12:11 FAI → 16:56 SEA
    AS 1839 · Alaska · 3h 45m · 97% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:54 SEA → 23:38 DEN
    UA 1218 · United · 2h 44m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 27mFAI 12:11 to DEN 23:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.