tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 20%

  1. 12:22 OGG → 20:43 SAN
    AS 203 · Alaska · 5h 21m · 74% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:02 SAN → 23:28 LAS
    AS 2305 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 27% on time, 13.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (13.3% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip8h 06mOGG 12:22 to LAS 23:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.