tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 21:40 OGG → 06:17 SEA
    AS 206 · Alaska · 5h 37m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:07 SEA → 09:23 SJC +1 day
    AS 1448 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip8h 43mOGG 21:40 to SJC 09:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.