tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:16 SEA
    AS 21 · Alaska · 6h 16m · 68% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:26 SEA → 14:08 BZN
    AS 277 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 08mJFK 07:00 to BZN 14:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.