tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:16 SEA
    AS 21 · Alaska · 6h 16m · 68% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 SEA → 15:25 LAX
    AS 502 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 25mJFK 07:00 to LAX 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.