tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:16 SEA
    AS 21 · Alaska · 6h 16m · 68% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 SEA → 15:06 ANC
    AS 657 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip12h 06mJFK 07:00 to ANC 15:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.