tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:16 SEA
    AS 21 · Alaska · 6h 16m · 68% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 SEA → 15:35 LAS
    AS 658 · Alaska · 2h 35m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 35mJFK 07:00 to LAS 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.