tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:31 FAI → 10:12 SEA
    AS 210 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 07mFAI 05:31 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.