tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:31 FAI → 10:12 SEA
    AS 210 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 SEA → 14:48 PDX
    AS 3204 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 17mFAI 05:31 to PDX 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.