tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 22:28 LIH → 07:12 SEA
    AS 213 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:04 SEA → 11:56 DEN +1 day
    AS 375 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 88% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 4 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 28mLIH 22:28 to DEN 11:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.