tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 22:28 LIH → 07:12 SEA
    AS 213 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:53 SEA → 11:09 SFO +1 day
    AS 528 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 41mLIH 22:28 to SFO 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.