tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 47%

  1. 22:28 LIH → 07:12 SEA
    AS 213 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 SEA → 12:35 OAK +1 day
    WN 1713 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip11h 07mLIH 22:28 to OAK 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.