tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ketchikan → Juneau via Seattle: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:00 KTN → 19:00 SEA
    AS 214 · Alaska · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 SEA → 21:22 JNU
    AS 1559 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 22mKTN 16:00 to JNU 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.