tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:18 ATL → 18:46 SEA
    AS 218 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:04 SEA → 23:56 SAN
    AS 1472 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 38mATL 16:18 to SAN 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.