tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 16:18 ATL → 18:46 SEA
    AS 218 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 SEA → 23:19 BZN
    AS 458 · Alaska · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 01mATL 16:18 to BZN 23:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.