tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:18 ATL → 18:46 SEA
    AS 218 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:43 SEA → 22:22 ANC
    AS 663 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 04mATL 16:18 to ANC 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.